ChowChow Cloud International Ho Price Analysis Powered by AI

CHOW Post-Spike Exhaustion: Fade-the-Bounce Setup After a 1.38 Blow-Off Candle

Current price: 0.761 (last hourly prints around 0.747)
Regime: extreme event / micro-cap style price action
Key context:
- Massive historical collapse (Dec 2025: ~12 → sub-1.0) suggests prior structural break (split/issuance/price dislocation).
- Today (Feb 12): explosive pump-and-fade behavior with a very large daily candle and extraordinary volume.

Downtrend into Feb: From mid-Jan (~0.71) → early Feb lows (~0.40–0.52).
Today’s candle: Open ~0.82, high 1.38, low ~0.70, close ~0.761.
- This is a classic long upper wick / rejection candle after a parabolic spike.
- Despite closing green vs many prior sessions, the inability to hold above 0.82–1.00 after tagging 1.38 is bearish for the next session(s).

Impulse up: 0.70–0.90 area → spike to 1.16+.
Then consistent distribution: 1.16 → 0.94 → 0.87 → 0.83 → 0.74–0.81 range.
Late hours show lower highs and a drift back toward 0.74–0.76, consistent with fading momentum and liquidity withdrawal.

Conclusion (trend): Short-term trend (next 24h) favors mean reversion down / consolidation, not continuation up.

Daily volume on 2026-02-12 is enormous (hundreds of millions). That often marks:
1. a capitulation + reversal (bullish) or
2. a blow-off top / distribution day (bearish)
Given price failed to hold above 1.00 and closed near the lower half of the day’s range, this fits distribution more than accumulation.
Hourly volume was heaviest near the spike (14:30 bar) and then declined during the fade → typical of a pump peak where demand exhausts.

Conclusion (volume): High probability that the spike was an exhaustion move; follow-through is more likely down than up.

0.82–0.90: prior intraday support during the spike/fade; now overhead supply.
0.94–1.00: psychological + failed reclaim zone.
1.16–1.38: blow-off region; very heavy bag-holder supply.

Implication: Upside runs into stacked resistance quickly (0.82/0.90/1.00). Downside has cleaner air pockets toward 0.70 then 0.64.

Using today’s day range: High 1.38 – Low 0.70 ≈ 0.68 (almost the entire current price).
That implies very high realized volatility; expect wide swings.
After an exhaustion spike, the common next-day behavior is:
- early attempt to bounce (short-cover + dip buyers)
- followed by renewed selling into resistance.

Probable 24h range: roughly 0.62 to 0.88 (with tail risk spikes).

Blow-off top signature: parabolic rally + extreme volume + failure to hold highs + long upper wick → bearish bias.
Bull trap risk: Anyone buying the breakout above ~0.90–1.00 is now underwater; rallies tend to be sold.

(Exact indicator values require full calculation; here is the inference from structure)

After the spike, the hourlies show lower highs/lower closes → momentum rollover.
With price far above early-Feb lows but unable to sustain >0.82, odds favor mean reversion toward mid support (0.64–0.70).

Price drifts down toward 0.70, may bounce, but rallies likely stall 0.82–0.86.
Best edge is to sell into rebounds (fade) rather than chase.

If price reclaims and holds >0.90 (especially on rising volume), it can squeeze toward 1.00–1.16. Given the supply overhead, I treat this as lower probability.

Bias: bearish / consolidation-to-down
Expected path: attempt bounce → rejection near 0.82–0.86 → retest 0.70; possible extension to 0.64 if selling accelerates.

Given the exhaustion spike + rejection + stacked overhead supply, the higher-probability trade over the next 24 hours is:

Prefer not to short into the hole; wait for a rebound into supply.
Open (short) zone: 0.82–0.86 (sell the bounce).
- Single optimal level: 0.84.
Take-profit (close) target:
- Conservative target at prior support: 0.70.
- This aligns with the day’s low zone and is the first major demand area.

If price never rebounds to ~0.84, the setup is less attractive; chasing shorts near 0.74 increases whipsaw risk in this volatility regime.