Comprehensive Technical Analysis for Ford Motor Company (F)

1. Overview of Historical Data

We have been provided with the price and volume data for Ford Motor Company starting from early December 2024 up to April 2nd, 2025. The data shows fluctuating movements, characterized by a general trend of decline followed by a recent recovery phase.

• Trend Analysis: From December 4th, 2024, the price has shown periods of notable decrease, reaching a low point around early February 2025. Following this period, we witness a recovery phase from March onward, which shows the price climbing back from the $9.2 range to approximately $10.15 as of April 2, 2025.

2. Key Technical Indicators

1. Moving Averages

   • Simple Moving Average (SMA):
     • 50-day SMA is calculated around $9.6 (approx). This indicates a bullish crossover when compared to the current price, suggesting a short-term uptrend.
     • 200-day SMA would be trending downward, given the general downtrend visible from the charts, but specific calculations are subject to complete historical data, which generally setup with longer periods might not fully detail here.

2. Relative Strength Index (RSI):

   • Considering the increase in price since early February, the 14-day RSI might be nearing overbought levels (>70) implying a probable slowdown in the bullish momentum and potential price correction or consolidation.

3. Volume Analysis

   • There are spikes in volume, especially on March 10 (167M shares), indicative of high trading interest during this initial recovery rally.
   • High volume days often align with significant price movements further indicating market sentiment shifts.

4. Bollinger Bands:

   • The price currently trading nearer to the upper band, indicating that the asset might be overbought in the short term, aligning with potential RSI observations.

3. Candlestick Patterns

• Overall Formation: Classic downtrend reversal patterns noted in February moving into parts of March with bull candles consistently edging higher.
• Recently (April): Noticeable increase in buying pressure with candles closing higher than open, confirming the upward move, albeit with some immediate resistance close to $10.25.

4. Support and Resistance Levels

• Immediate support around $9.70, evident from recent pullbacks that did not sustain below this level.
• Resistance around $10.30 – $10.25, as seen from wick rejections and stalling of price action at this level, indicating strong seller interest.

5. Predictive Outlook (Next <period> Hours)

Based on the analysis, the market for Ford could see a consolidative move with possible slight retracements given the short-term overbought signals:

• Potential Minor Retracement: Considering current RSI and proximity to resistance.
• Consolidation Zone: Likely between $9.90 - $10.15, unless major buying activity breaks resistance forcefully.

Conclusion

Despite the positive momentum, caution is advised due to overbought signals and recent resistance rejections.

Analysis suggests: Waiting for pullbacks or consolidation confirmation before new long entries would reduce risk exposure.