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SMMT
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Prediction
Price-up
BULLISH
Target
$26.5
Estimated
Model
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trdz-0311
Date
01:00 AM
Analyzed

Summit Therapeutics Inc. Price Analysis Powered by AI

Summit Therapeutics (SMMT): Oversold After Price Collapse - Time to Consider a Rebound?

Technical Analysis of Summit Therapeutics Inc. (SMMT)

  1. Price and Volume Overview:

    • The analysis is based on recent price data culminating on April 25, 2025.
    • A significant price drop was observed on April 25th, from a high of $36.70 to a close at $23.47, indicating a sharp sell-off.
    • The volume during this drop was exceptionally high, reaching over 24 million shares in the daily session, combined with an unusual mid-day drop from approximately $35 to about $23, suggests a strong bearish pressure.
  2. Trend Analysis:

    • Previous to the large drop, SMMT was on an upward trend, peaking at $36.70 on April 24th.
    • The drastic drop on April 25th broke the uptrend and entered a consolidation phase by closing at $23.47. The hourly data suggests stabilization efforts around $24 towards the end of the day.
  3. Volume Dynamics:

    • The massive sell-off was accompanied by a huge spike in volume during the midday drop and late afternoon stabilization, illustrating panic selling likely followed by speculative buying at lower levels, or short covering.
  4. Support and Resistance Levels:

    • Immediate resistance appears to be at around $28, a level seen during the intra-day highs after the drop.
    • Strong support is observed at approximately $22.20, as evidenced by the low reached during April 25th.
  5. Relative Strength Index (RSI):

    • Even though precise RSI values are not provided, the severe price drop implies a potential oversold condition, suggesting that the stock might experience a technical rebound from this low.
  6. Moving Averages:

    • Without explicit values of moving averages, the pattern indicates the price is below likely short to medium-term moving averages due to the sudden decline, suggesting bearish momentum.
  7. MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence):

    • Similar indications would suggest a bearish crossover, given the extent of the drop. A significant bearish divergence might have been present before the large sell-off.
  8. Conclusion:

    • The rapid drop and subsequent stabilization point towards overreaction and potential for a technical rebound. However, the breach of key levels calls for caution.

Prediction:

  • Expected Movement: A short-term consolidation phase with possible upwards corrective movements towards the $25-$27 range, given the oversold conditions.
  • Long-term Trend: Still bearish unless the price stabilizes above $28.

Decision:

Given the significant sell-off, the entry point for a reversal strategy is crucial. Right now, a cautious approach is prudent.

The analysis suggests preparing for a potential technical rebound to capitalize on the overreaction but with limits.

Signal: Buy for a short-term rebound