EOS Price Analysis Powered by AI

EOS Coils for a Breakout: Buy the Dip Near 0.295 for a Run at 0.315

Instrument: EOS/USD Current price: 0.29977 Timeframes assessed: Daily (D1) and Hourly (H1) Data window: Aug 10, 2025 – Nov 7, 2025 (intraday up to 18:08 UTC)

Executive summary

Short-term momentum has flipped decisively bullish from the Nov 4 low (0.2452) with a strong impulse and volume expansion, reclaiming key retracement and moving-average levels on the H1/D1 blend.
Price is pressing into a heavy resistance shelf around 0.300–0.305 (round number + late-Oct supply), after an intraday run that already exceeded R3 classical pivots—raising near-term pullback risk.
Baseline plan: Buy-the-dip into 0.293–0.296 (prior breakout/acceptance zone and near H1 Kijun/VWAP cluster), targeting 0.314–0.316 within 24h if momentum persists. Invalidation for the setup sits near 0.286–0.288.

Trend, structure, and market profile

Higher time frame trend (D1): Still a primary downtrend since mid-August (peak 0.6015 on Aug 13), with a sharp repricing on Oct 10 (0.3869 → 0.2641). Post-crash, price has been basing between ~0.245–0.305. Current 0.2998 is below any plausible 50D SMA but now slightly above the 20D mean—early signs of a base but not a full trend reversal yet.
Intermediate swing structure: From Oct 13 swing high (0.3280) down to Nov 4 swing low (0.2452), today’s rally has reclaimed the 61.8% retracement (≈0.2915) and is probing the 78.6% zone (≈0.311) of that downswing. That’s constructive for a retest of 0.312–0.316 resistance if pullbacks hold above 0.288–0.291.
Micro structure (H1): Clear sequence of higher highs and higher lows today: 0.262 → 0.269 → 0.286 → 0.280 pullback → 0.299 breakout. The prior intraday bull flag (0.289–0.282 consolidation) resolved higher, and the breakout is now approaching overhead supply at 0.300–0.305.
Volume/participation: Daily volume today (~2.0m so far) is high versus recent sessions and comparable to stress days in Oct—suggesting participation on the advance. Intraday, volume expanded on up-swings and contracted on pullbacks—typical of healthy trend days.

Key support/resistance (confluence)

Immediate resistance: 0.300–0.305 (round-number, late-Oct highs 0.300–0.304, psychological level). Next resistance: 0.312–0.316 (Oct 12–14 pivot zone; 78.6% retrace of Oct 13 → Nov 4 move ≈0.311).
Supports below: 0.296–0.293 (breakout retest zone and H1 acceptance), 0.289 (micro shelf), 0.282–0.280 (flag base and yesterday’s R3 vicinity), 0.275–0.273 (H1 swing area), 0.265–0.266 (Oct 31 close and prior pivot), 0.251–0.245 (capitulation base Nov 3–4).
Market asks and bids likely congregate around: 0.300 (resistance offers), 0.295 (buy-the-dip limit cluster), 0.291 (61.8% reclaim pivot), 0.286–0.288 (invalidation zone for near-term momentum longs).

Moving averages

D1 20SMA (approx): ~0.287–0.290. Price is now above—bullish short-term tilt.
D1 50SMA (roughly): materially higher (~0.40–0.42 by estimation) and still declining—longer-term trend remains bearish.
H1 20EMA/50EMA: Stair-stepping higher; price is extended above the 20EMA post-breakout, typical of trend days with risk of mean reversion to the 20–50 EMA band (≈0.292–0.295) before next leg up. Interpretation: Positive short-term momentum within a broader downtrend; best risk-adjusted entries are on dips toward the H1 EMA cluster.

Momentum oscillators

RSI (H1, qualitative): Likely in the 65–72 range after a near-linear advance; price has moved beyond classical R3 intraday, indicating short-term overextension. Watch for shallow pullback to reset RSI into high-50s/low-60s before continuation.
RSI (D1, qualitative): Recovering from oversold; building positive slope consistent with basing.
MACD (H1): Fast line above signal with increasing histogram during the 0.289 → 0.299 run; momentum positive. A minor bearish divergence risk could emerge if price pushes 0.301–0.304 with a flatter histogram—favoring a dip first.
MACD (D1): Curling up from negative; potential bullish cross if follow-through persists next sessions.

Volatility and bands

Bollinger Bands (D1; 20,2): Mid-band ~0.287–0.290; upper band estimated ~0.319–0.323 given recent variance. Current price in the upper half, not yet at the daily upper band, leaving room toward 0.314–0.320 if momentum persists.
ATR(14) D1 (est.): ~0.018–0.022. A 24h range of ±6–7% around a mid-0.29 handle is plausible, implying 0.279–0.317 as a reasonable envelope. Interpretation: Room to extend to 0.314–0.317 exists, but a pullback into 0.293–0.296 first would be technically healthy.

Fibonacci mapping

Aug high (0.6015) to Nov 4 low (0.2317):
- 38.2%: ~0.3727; 50%: ~0.4166; 61.8%: ~0.4597. Current 0.300 is still in the lower retracement zone of the macro down-move—long-term recovery has much left to prove.
Oct 13 (0.3280) to Nov 4 (0.2452):
- 61.8%: ~0.2915 (now reclaimed—bullish short-term).
- 78.6%: ~0.311 (next tactical target).
- 100%: 0.328 (stretch if squeeze develops).
Micro swing today: 0.280 low to 0.2998 high → 38.2% pullback ≈0.292, 50% ≈0.290, 61.8% ≈0.288. Ideal dip-buy zone aligns with 0.292–0.296 confluence.

Pivot points (intraday reference) Using 11/6 HLC (H≈0.2701, L≈0.2556, C≈0.2617):

P ≈ 0.2625; R1 ≈ 0.2694; R2 ≈ 0.2770; R3 ≈ 0.2839. Price has already overshot R3 decisively to 0.2998—typically implies elevated pullback probability to test above-R3 supports (0.284–0.289) or, on strong tape, shallow retest of 0.293–0.296.

Ichimoku (qualitative)

H1: Price above Tenkan and Kijun; cloud below price; bullish stack. Kijun estimated ~0.287–0.289; Tenkan ~0.292–0.294. A retest of Tenkan/Kijun confluence into 0.292–0.295 is textbook before leg higher if trend holds.
D1: Price likely below the cloud; Span A/B above—macro trend still negative; short-term bounce operating beneath higher-timeframe resistance. Expect the daily cloud to cap the advance in the 0.31–0.33 region initially.

VWAP/AVWAP and volume flows

Intraday VWAP for Nov 7 rising steeply; price is trading above VWAP—trend-day behavior with buy-the-dip to VWAP/nearby EMAs preferred.
Anchored VWAP from Nov 4 low likely sits ~0.282–0.285 given the path—solid medium intraday support.
OBV/Volume profile: OBV turning up and exceeding prior week’s highs; visible node around 0.293–0.296 from late Oct—now shifting from supply to demand.

Pattern diagnostics

Bull flag: The 0.289–0.282 pause followed by breakout to 0.299 is a clean flag continuation.
Potential Elliott micro count: 5-wave impulse off 0.262 (1: 0.269, 2: 0.266, 3: 0.289, 4: 0.280, 5: 0.299). After 5, an ABC back to 0.292–0.295 is likely before another impulse toward 0.312–0.316.
Base formation: Multi-week base 0.245–0.305 developing. Today’s push challenges the range top; a daily close above ~0.304 would confirm range breakout and open 0.312–0.329 next.

Risk scenarios and probabilities (24h)

Base case (55%): Pullback to 0.293–0.296, hold, then extend to 0.312–0.316. Close near highs if volume persists.
Bull extension (20%): Minimal pullback; clean break of 0.305 leads to squeeze toward 0.321–0.329 (late-Oct/early-Oct supply), potentially tagging daily upper Bollinger.
Mean reversion (20%): Deeper dip to 0.288–0.289 (61.8% of micro swing), still holds and recovers. Slower path to 0.310.
Bear surprise (5%): Loss of 0.286–0.288 triggers a slide back to 0.280/0.275; would invalidate the immediate long setup.

Strategy integration and plan

Momentum and structure support buying dips rather than chasing into 0.300–0.305 supply. The best reward-to-risk sits at 0.294–0.295 where H1 EMA/Tenkan/VWAP clusters converge and just above the 61.8% micro retracement.
Targeting 0.314–0.316 aligns with the 78.6% retrace of the Oct 13 → Nov 4 downswing and the lower edge of daily upper-band resistance.
Invalidation/stop (not part of requested fields but vital): Below 0.286 (beneath Kijun and 61.8% micro), preferably 0.285 to account for wicks. This yields R:R > 2 for entry 0.2945 and target 0.3145.

Why not short here?

While intraday is overextended versus R3, broader evidence (volume expansion on green candles, reclaimed 61.8% of key downswing, H1 MA stack) argues that dips are buyable. Shorting into a strong impulse near the threshold of a range breakout carries adverse selection risk unless 0.286–0.288 fails.

Conclusion

Bias: Buy on pullback.
Optimal entry: 0.294–0.295 (limit). If price doesn’t pull back, optional momentum add-on above 0.305 on strong tape—higher risk.
24h target: 0.314–0.316. Secondary extension if a squeeze unfolds: up to 0.321–0.329. Invalidation: loss of 0.286.

Forecast (24h): Expect consolidation-to-higher. Dip toward 0.294–0.296 likely, followed by a push to 0.312–0.316 as long as 0.288–0.291 holds on closing bases.