Hedera Price Analysis Powered by AI

HBAR at a Pivotal Base: Dip-Buy Setup Targeting a 0.104 Retest Within 24 Hours

Market Snapshot (HBAR)

Current price: 0.1019079
Primary data used: Daily candles (2025-11-20 → 2026-02-17) + intraday hourly structure (last ~24h)
Regime: Medium-term downtrend with a short-term rebound attempt.

1) Multi-timeframe Trend & Structure

Daily trend (swing structure)

From late Nov (~0.148) into early Feb low (~0.078) the market printed a clear sequence of lower highs / lower lows.
The Feb 5 capitulation candle (low ~0.0762, close ~0.0782) was followed by a sharp mean-reversion bounce (Feb 6 close ~0.0912), then gradual recovery into 0.10–0.104.
Key takeaway: The dominant trend is still bearish, but price is attempting to form a base above ~0.098–0.100.

Short-term structure (last ~1–2 weeks)

Feb 13 close: ~0.09879 → Feb 14 close: ~0.10386 (impulse up)
Feb 15 close: ~0.10029 (pullback)
Feb 16 close: ~0.10175 (stabilization)
Feb 17 close/current: ~0.10191 (slight continuation)
This looks like a post-impulse consolidation rather than a renewed selloff.

Bias from structure: Mildly bullish for the next 24h unless ~0.100 fails decisively.

2) Support/Resistance Mapping (Price Action + Volume Context)

Supports

0.1000–0.0994: Psychological + repeatedly traded intraday; hourly lows cluster near 0.0994–0.0998.
0.0988–0.0980: Prior daily area (Feb 15 low ~0.09805). A break below here increases odds of revisiting 0.093–0.091.

Resistances

0.1024–0.1031: Intraday spike high zone (hourly high ~0.10310). Immediate supply.
0.1039–0.1040: Daily close area from Feb 14 (prior breakout close).
0.1063–0.1072: Feb 14 high zone; would require stronger momentum.

Implication: Price is currently sitting mid-range; upside is capped quickly at 0.103–0.104, downside defended near 0.100.

3) Volatility & Range Expectations (ATR-style reasoning)

Recent daily candles show typical ranges of roughly 0.0025–0.006+ (2.5%–6%+) depending on impulse days.
Last 24h hourly range roughly 0.09945 → 0.10310 (~3.7%).

24h expectation: A likely trading envelope is 0.0995–0.1040, with the path depending on whether 0.1031 breaks or 0.100 fails.

4) Intraday Order-Flow Read (Hourly)

Price spent many hours grinding down from ~0.1016 to ~0.0996, then reversed and printed a strong expansion candle (hour 16:00) up to ~0.1024 with high activity, followed by a pullback to ~0.10045, then recovery to ~0.1019.
That pattern is consistent with a liquidity sweep / stop-run below 0.100 followed by re-acceptance above 0.101.

Implication: Near-term demand appears responsive around ~0.100–0.1005.

5) Pattern & Price-Action Setups

Base-building / rounding attempt

After the Feb 5 flush, price is attempting to hold higher lows relative to 0.088–0.093 zone.

Bull flag / consolidation (short-term)

Feb 14 impulse up, followed by 2–3 days of sideways-to-down consolidation around 0.100–0.102 fits a bull flag archetype.
Confirmation requires reclaiming and holding >0.1031–0.1040.

Pattern bias (24h): Slightly bullish continuation attempt, but not high-conviction until 0.1031 breaks.

6) Scenario Forecast (Next 24 Hours)

Base case (higher probability)

Chop with bullish tilt: Hold above 0.1000, probe 0.1025–0.1039.
Likely close nearer the top of the range if 0.1031 is broken with acceptance.

Bullish continuation scenario

Break/hold above 0.1031, then test 0.1039–0.1040 (and potentially wick toward 0.105–0.106 if momentum expands).

Bearish invalidation scenario

Lose 0.1000 then 0.0988, opening a move back toward 0.0963 → 0.0932.

Given the responsive buying after dips and the current price holding above the main intraday pivot (~0.101), I assign a slight upward bias for the next 24h.

Trade Plan (24h)

Strategy chosen: Buy the pullback at support (better R:R than buying mid-range).

Rationale: Strong demand reaction around 0.100–0.1005; resistance targets at 0.1039–0.1040 offer acceptable short-term upside.

Risk logic (implicit)

If price does not hold ~0.100, the base thesis weakens quickly (range breakdown risk).

Conclusion

Decision: Buy (Long)
24h view: Mildly bullish / range-up attempt toward 0.1039–0.1040 provided 0.100 holds.