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SHIB icon
SHIB
▼
Prediction
Price-down
BEARISH
Target
$0.0000065
Estimated
Model
ai robot icon
trdz-T52k
Date
2026-02-01
22:00
Analyzed

Shiba Inu Price Analysis Powered by AI

SHIB Breaks the 0.000007 Floor: Bear-Flag Continuation Signals Next Liquidity Sweep

Market snapshot (SHIB)

  • Current price: 0.000006606
  • Timeframe provided: Daily (Nov → Feb 1) + last ~24h hourly
  • Key context: Price has transitioned from a higher, sticky range (0.000009–0.000010) in November → mid-range (0.000008) in December/January → recent step-down to 0.000007 and now printing 0.0000066 (Feb 1 hourly close).

1) Multi-timeframe trend analysis (structure)

Daily market structure

  • Nov: mostly sideways to slightly up at 0.000009–0.000010.
  • Late Nov–Dec: drop/rotation into 0.000008, then breakdown into 0.000007 around Dec 18.
  • Dec 21 → Jan 1: extremely tight consolidation at 0.000007 (many identical OHLC days). This is classic compression / volatility contraction.
  • Early Jan (Jan 2–6): expansion upward back to 0.000009–0.000010 on rising volume (notably Jan 4–6). However, follow-through failed—price reverted to 0.000008 again.
  • Late Jan: returns to 0.000008, then breaks down to 0.000007 (Jan 29 onward).
  • Jan 31 daily candle: low touches 0.000006 with close 0.000007 on high volume (~218M) → indicates distribution / forced selling or a liquidity sweep.
  • Feb 1 daily (partial/most recent): open ~0.000006797, high ~0.000006886, low ~0.000006574, close ~0.000006606 on ~143M volume → lower high + lower close under the 0.000007 prior floor.

Conclusion (daily structure): SHIB is in a downtrend / bearish regime with a decisive regime shift from 0.000007 (old floor) to 0.0000066 (new value area). Any long is counter-trend until 0.000007 is reclaimed and held.

Hourly market structure (last ~24h)

  • Early hours: pop from ~0.000006639 to a local high ~0.000006894 (07:00) → then consistent lower highs.
  • Midday: sharp sell leg to ~0.000006590 (15:00 low zone), followed by weak bounce.
  • Late session: drifting around 0.00000662–0.00000668 and settling near 0.000006606.

Conclusion (hourly structure): A bear flag / descending consolidation after the failed push to 0.00000689. Momentum is weak; rebounds are being sold.

2) Support/Resistance mapping (price action & volume memory)

Major resistance (supply)

  1. 0.000007000 — critical pivot: former long consolidation and psychological handle. Now likely overhead supply.
  2. 0.00000685–0.00000690 — hourly swing high band (failed breakout area).
  3. 0.00000800 — previous multi-week base; well above current price; would require trend reversal.

Major support (demand)

  1. 0.00000657–0.00000660 — intraday low/close cluster (current “line in the sand”).
  2. 0.00000650 — round-number magnet; likely where stops/liquidity sit.
  3. 0.00000600 — the Jan 31 daily low area; if 0.00000650 fails, this becomes the next larger downside target zone.

3) Momentum & oscillator read (inference from price sequence)

Because the dataset is discrete/step-like on daily candles, exact indicator values (RSI/MACD) would be distorted; however, the sequence still yields reliable directional signals:

RSI-style inference

  • Persistent lower highs + failure to reclaim 0.000007 suggests bearish momentum.
  • The selloff is not yet showing a strong V-reversal pattern; bounces are muted → consistent with RSI stuck below midline behavior.

MACD-style inference

  • The breakdown from 0.000007 and inability to regain it implies negative MACD histogram regime on short-term averages.

Net momentum: bearish-to-neutral, with bears in control unless price reclaims ~0.00000685–0.00000690 and then 0.000007.

4) Volatility & range analysis (ATR / contraction-expansion)

  • Daily history shows long periods of flat candles (0.000007 prints) followed by abrupt expansions (Jan 4–6 pump; Jan 31–Feb 1 dump).
  • Last 24h hourly high-low range: approx 0.000006894 - 0.000006574 = 0.000000320.
  • Relative to price (~0.0000066), that’s ~4.8% intraday range.

Implication: With volatility elevated post-breakdown, mean-reversion bounces can occur, but trend-following short setups generally have better expectancy until 0.000007 is reclaimed.

5) Pattern recognition

(A) Daily: failed expansion after consolidation

  • Long compression at 0.000007 → breakout to 0.000009–0.000010 (Jan 4–6) → failure to hold gains → return to base.
  • Such “failed breakout” patterns often resolve with a move to the opposite side of the consolidation (i.e., under 0.000007).
  • That’s now happening: price is accepting below 0.000007.

(B) Hourly: bear flag / drifting distribution

  • Spike to 0.00000689 then a stair-step down with weak rebounds → classic bearish continuation structure.

Pattern implication for next 24h: higher probability of a retest of 0.00000657 and possibly 0.00000650 than an immediate reclaim of 0.000007.

6) Scenario forecast (next 24 hours)

Base case (most likely): bearish continuation with small bounces

  • Price likely oscillates between 0.00000650–0.00000670, with a bias to probe liquidity below 0.00000657.
  • Expected path: minor bounce attempts toward 0.00000668–0.00000672 get sold → drift down → retest 0.00000657.

Bull alternative (less likely): short squeeze to resistance

  • If price reclaims 0.00000685–0.00000690 (the failed swing high band), shorts could cover into 0.00000700.
  • But given the recent acceptance below 0.000007, 0.000007 is expected to act as sell-wall unless accompanied by strong volume impulse.

Tail risk

  • If 0.00000650 breaks cleanly, next magnet is ~0.00000600 (Jan 31 daily low zone).

7) Trade plan logic (decision + optimal entry)

Given:

  • Higher-timeframe downtrend
  • Key pivot (0.000007) now overhead resistance
  • Hourly bear-flag behavior

Preferred trade: sell rallies (short) into resistance rather than buy dips.

Optimal open (entry)

  • Best risk/reward is to short near resistance, not at the lows.
  • Primary entry zone: 0.00000670 (near recent consolidation ceiling; allows tighter invalidation).
  • If a stronger bounce occurs, an even better (secondary) entry is 0.00000685–0.00000690, but it may not print.

Take-profit (close)

  • First high-probability target is the local support pocket near 0.00000650.
  • That aligns with liquidity + round-number behavior.

24h expectation: mild downward drift; odds favor hitting 0.00000650 before reclaiming 0.00000690.

Notes (risk management not requested but relevant)

  • Invalidation for the short thesis would be sustained trade above 0.00000690 and especially above 0.00000700 (pivot reclaim).