Worldcoin Price Analysis Powered by AI

WLD poised for a tactical mean-reversion pop toward $0.918 after a liquidity sweep

Executive summary and 24h bias

Instrument: Worldcoin (WLD)
Current price: $0.8894
24h directional bias: Mildly bullish (mean-reversion bounce within a broader downtrend)
24h expected range (ATR-based): ~$0.853 – $0.928
Plan: Buy the dip into intraday support for a push toward the 0.5–0.618 retracement band of the latest swing

Daily trend: Bearish since the early-October breakdown. Price is below the 20/50-day MAs and making lower highs/lows.
Post-event context: A sharp dislocation on Oct 10 printed an extreme low (data shows a wick to ~$0.36), then price stabilized between ~$0.87 and ~$1.01. Despite the overarching downtrend, the last 48 hours show basing behavior near $0.87.
Key daily swing points:
- Sept 9 high: ~$2.14 (blow-off)
- Oct 3 lower high: ~$1.40
- Oct 10 crash close: ~$0.8733
- Oct 17 swing low: ~$0.8259 (deeper liquidity sweep/SFP); current price is holding above this.
Intraday (1h) structure: Since Oct 17 low, sequence of higher lows from ~0.872 to ~0.889 with local highs up to ~0.897–0.900; this is a constructive micro uptrend within a daily downtrend.

Immediate supports: 0.872–0.876 (intraday floor and prior day close), 0.863 (Oct 11 low), 0.854 (Sep 1 close), 0.835 and 0.826 (Oct 17 swing low).
Immediate resistances: 0.895–0.900 (round number and 1h supply), 0.916 (daily pivot cluster/0.5 fib), 0.933 (prior daily close 10/15), 0.958 (10/14 close), 1.004–1.011 (10/12–13 closes).
Volume/POC: Heaviest recent trading appears in the 0.90–1.00 band; expect mean-reversion pull toward 0.92–0.95 if today’s base holds.

20-day SMA (est.): ~1.12. Price is ~21% below this; indicates overshoot and room for mean reversion.
50-day SMA (est.): ~1.20–1.30 (given Sept rally to >$1.5 and subsequent bleed). Price well below; primary trend remains down.
Implication: MAs act as overhead dynamic resistance. However, being this far below the 20SMA often precedes a short-term reversion bounce.

Daily RSI(14) estimate: ~31 (calculated from last 13 changes), rising marginally today. This is near oversold and consistent with bounce risk.
Hourly RSI: Mid-50s and trending up through the session; confirms intraday positive momentum.
MACD (daily): Bearish below zero, but histogram contraction suggests selling pressure is waning post-Oct 17.
MACD (1h): Crossed positive earlier; modest bullish follow-through likely if price holds above 0.882–0.885.

ATR(14) daily (est.): ~0.06 (ex-outlier). Using a conservative 0.6–0.9x ATR for 24h, expected move is ~0.035–0.055. From $0.889, that projects to ~$0.854–$0.944, centering on ~$0.918 as a reasonable 24h target.
Bollinger Bands (daily, 20/2): With 20SMA ~1.12 and recent dispersion elevated by the crash day, price is near/just above the lower band; mean reversion typically targets mid-band on intraday timeframes (for 1h BBs) and incremental drift toward the daily 20SMA over several sessions. In the next 24h, a move to the 0.90s is consistent with band behavior.

Using Oct 13 close high ~1.0107 and Oct 17 low ~0.8259:
- 0.382: ~0.8965 (tested today; minor rejection once, but holding just below)
- 0.500: ~0.9183 (natural 24h target)
- 0.618: ~0.9405 (stretch/secondary target if momentum improves)
Confluence: 0.918 aligns with prior daily pivot resistance; 0.940 aligns with previous congestion and sits under 0.95 POC.

Price below Cloud; trend bearish. Tenkan-sen (9-period mid) est. ~0.928 (mid of recent 9-day high/low); Kijun far above due to Sept spike.
Mean reversion toward Tenkan ~0.92–0.93 over the next session is plausible, absent fresh selling shock.

Liquidity sweep: Oct 17 undercut to 0.8259 took out late longs and prior stop pools, then price reclaimed 0.87s. This is a classic SFP that often precedes a bounce.
Resting liquidity above: 0.895–0.900 equal highs cluster; then 0.916–0.918 and 0.932–0.935. Expect wicks into these zones as stops get harvested.
Below: 0.872 shelf (multiple taps). A clean break below likely accelerates to 0.863, then 0.854/0.835.

Using a rough 20-day mean ~1.120 and assumed daily sigma ~0.17, z-score ~-1.36 at $0.889. One-sigma reversion would imply ~$0.95; a half-sigma reversion implies ~$0.918—consistent with the 0.5 fib and Tenkan.

Descending channel from early October: price bounced off the lower rail near 10/17 and is heading toward the channel midline; that midline coincides with 0.91–0.93.
Micro higher-lows across intraday: constructive for a continuation push if 0.882–0.885 holds as an intraday demand pivot.

Base case (60%): Hold 0.882–0.885, rotate up through 0.895–0.900, tag 0.915–0.920. Close near 0.915–0.920.
Bullish extension (20%): Momentum continuation to 0.930–0.940 (0.618 fib) if 0.900 is reclaimed and held on volume.
Bearish break (20%): Lose 0.882–0.885, slip to 0.872; if 0.872 fails on a closing basis, test 0.863/0.854 quickly.

Rationale to be long: Daily RSI near 30 with positive 1h momentum, SFP at 0.826, support shelf at 0.872–0.876, Fibonacci confluence aiming to 0.918, and typical post-shock mean reversion toward Tenkan/POC.
Entry: Prefer a patient limit buy on a minor pullback into 0.884–0.886 (VWAP/1h support congestion). Using $0.885 as the optimal entry.
Take-profit (24h objective): $0.918 (0.5 retracement and first major daily pivot). This captures the statistically probable move while respecting the broader downtrend overhead.
Risk control (not part of the asked outputs but essential): Protective stop guidance would be below $0.872 (e.g., $0.867) to avoid whipsaw under the shelf; that sets an R:R of roughly 1.8:1 aiming $0.918 from $0.885.

A decisive hourly close below $0.872 or heavy sell volume rejection from $0.895–0.900 without subsequent reclaim would weaken the long setup and shift bias back to a 0.854/0.835 probe within 24–48h.

Bottom line

The multi-tool read aligns on a modest 24h bounce toward $0.918, provided $0.882–0.885 holds. Within a broader bearish context, this is a tactical long/mean-reversion scalp rather than a trend reversal call.