Fade the Pivot: Short WLFI33251 Into 0.219–0.221, Target the 0.200 Handle

Summary view (next 24h): Momentum is neutral-to-bearish beneath a dense resistance cluster (0.216–0.223). Expect a fade from rallies into that zone toward 0.206–0.201, with a probabilistic test of S1 ≈ 0.199. Best risk/reward is shorting bounces into 0.219–0.221.

Price action and structure

• Regime: After an early-September capitulation and rebound, WLFI33251 has settled into a contracting range with descending swing highs (0.243 → 0.239 → 0.222) and higher swing lows (0.189 → 0.203 → 0.206). That forms a short-term symmetrical wedge inside a broader downtrend.
• Intraday tape (last 24h): Sellers consistently capped price above 0.220–0.2215 (failed push at 10:00). Dips continue to find demand 0.206–0.210, but bounces are shallow, indicating supply overhead.
• Liquidity and fill zones: Visible liquidity pools/resistance at 0.2164 (Fib 50%), 0.2189 (daily pivot), 0.220–0.2215 (intraday supply and prior high). Demand at 0.210–0.206 (range floor) and 0.200–0.201 (prior pivot/round number).

Key levels (confluence)

• Fibonacci (swing 0.24345 → 0.18941): 38.2% ≈ 0.2100, 50% ≈ 0.2164, 61.8% ≈ 0.2228.
• Classic pivots (based on 09/14 H/L/C 0.2389/0.2076/0.2103): P ≈ 0.2189, R1 ≈ 0.2303, S1 ≈ 0.1989, R2 ≈ 0.2503, S2 ≈ 0.1876.
• Support: 0.210–0.206, then 0.200–0.199, then 0.189.
• Resistance: 0.216–0.219, then 0.222–0.224, then 0.230.

Trend and moving averages

• 5D SMA ≈ 0.211; 10D SMA ≈ 0.211. Current price $0.21384 is only marginally above both, indicating a flat, indecisive short-term trend within a broader lower-highs context.

Momentum and volatility

• RSI(14D) ≈ 44: Neutral-bearish; momentum is not stretched, so room exists for a southbound move without immediate oversold constraints.
• MACD (daily): Below zero but curling higher; histogram narrowing. This favors rallies being sold until a clean zero-line cross or pivot reclaim.
• Bollinger Bands (approx 10D proxy): Mid ≈ 0.211, Upper ≈ 0.228, Lower ≈ 0.194. Price sits near the midline; bandwidth has contracted, signaling a coiled move. Sitting below the pivot tilts the first move down.
• ATR(14D) ≈ 0.026: One-day expected absolute move ~12% of price. Implies a reasonable probability of tagging 0.206 or 0.200 if rallies fail near 0.219–0.221.

Ichimoku (hourly, qualitative)

• Price near/just below a flat Kijun; thin forward cloud. Flat Kijun/flat cloud typically magnetize price but, under pivot resistance, bias is fade-the-rally.

Volume/participation

• Volume has contracted versus early September. Diminishing volume on upticks and repeated rejection near 0.2215 suggests supply dominates overhead. OBV/flow appears flat-to-soft, consistent with a selling-on-strength regime.

Pattern diagnostics and scenarios

• Set-up: Symmetrical wedge inside a prior down impulse usually resolves with continuation unless buyers reclaim key inflection levels. With pivot and Fib 50–61.8% above, the path of least resistance is a fade from 0.219–0.221.
• Base case (~55%): Rally into 0.219–0.221 stalls, price rotates down toward 0.206–0.202; spike risk to 0.199–0.200 (S1 zone) within 24h.
• Bull case (~30%): Strong reclaim/hold above 0.219 pivot leads to a squeeze toward 0.226–0.230 (R1), but requires acceptance above 0.2228 (Fib 61.8%).
• Bear tail (~15%): Range break under 0.206 accelerates to 0.199 then 0.189.

Trade plan (24h tactical)

• Bias: Sell rips into layered resistance. The tightest confluence is 0.2189–0.2215 (daily pivot + Fib + intraday supply).
• Entry: Place a limit short around 0.2198 to let price come to you with confluence.
• Exit/targets: First target 0.206–0.205; preferred take-profit near 0.1998 to capture S1 proximity and round-number liquidity.
• Risk guide (not an order, for context): A protective stop above 0.2265 (above 61.8% and recent supply) offers ~3:1 reward:risk to the 0.1998 TP.

Bottom line

• While the larger timeframe may be basing, the next 24 hours favor a tactical short: price remains below the daily pivot and faces stacked resistance overhead, with momentum neutral-bearish and volatility adequate to reach 0.200 if a fade plays out.