WLFI33251: Coiled Under Resistance — Buy the Dip for a Break to 0.152–0.155 in the Next 24 Hours

Summary view

• Bias next 24h: Moderately bullish with a buy-the-dip setup; expect a retest of 0.150–0.152 and potential extension toward 0.155.
• Optimal plan: Enter on a pullback into 0.1458–0.1468 demand. Target 0.154–0.155 if breakout confirms; otherwise scale out near 0.150–0.152.

1. Price action and structure

• Higher lows since 2025-10-22 (0.1224 → 0.1260 → 0.1313 → 0.1364 → 0.1377 → 0.1473), and higher highs (0.1421 → 0.1522 → 0.1499 intraday today). This forms a rising channel/impulse advance after the 10/10 capitulation low.
• Today’s intraday action (hourlies) shows a steady staircase up from ~0.1378 to 0.1499 with shallow pullbacks, indicating strong dip demand.
• Key levels:
  • Resistance/supply: 0.1496–0.1500 (round number, intraday high cluster), 0.1522 (10/23 swing high), 0.1550–0.1555 (Fib ext cluster).
  • Supports: 0.1470–0.1472 (most recent hourly closes), 0.1460–0.1465 (micro shelf), 0.1432–0.1437 (hourly consolidation), 0.1418/0.1398 (intraday lows).
• Pattern context: The advance from 0.136–0.137 to 0.1499 reads as a bull flag breakout from the 10/24–10/25 tight base. Price is now consolidating just under resistance, typical pre-break behavior.

2. Volume analytics

• 10/10 showed capitulation (range to 0.0915; volume 979M), often a durable swing low.
• Since 10/22, up-moves have carried higher relative volume than down-moves; OBV (conceptually) is trending higher, confirming accumulation.
• Today’s pushes into 0.147–0.149 printed larger volume than the dips, consistent with demand absorption of overhead supply.

3. Momentum and oscillators

• Hourly RSI(14): rising regime, estimated 62–66; bull range characteristics (RSI pullbacks holding ~40–50, thrusts reaching 60–70). No strong bearish divergence visible on the last two highs.
• Stochastic(14,3,3) hourly: elevated (~75–85), but cycling without sharp crosses down; supports shallow consolidation before another leg up.
• MACD (12,26,9) hourly: above zero with positive histogram; histogram has narrowed slightly last couple hours (consolidation), but signal line remains above zero. A small pullback would reset momentum for a higher high attempt.
• ADX(14) hourly: rising toward low/mid-20s; +DI above –DI -> emerging trend strength, not yet overextended.
• CCI(20) hourly: likely +100 to +150 band earlier; now easing toward +50—typical of a bull consolidation.
• Vortex and Chaikin Money Flow (conceptual): trending positive, consistent with the price/volume behavior.

4. Trend-following baselines

• Moving averages (hourly estimates):
  • 9-EMA ≈ 0.1468–0.1472, price oscillating slightly above; rising slope.
  • 20-EMA/21-EMA ≈ 0.1450–0.1455; steady up-slope, acting as dynamic support.
  • 50-EMA ≈ 0.1435–0.1445; rising; pullbacks have been defended ahead of it.
  • Alignment (9>20>50) is bullish; pullbacks to 9/20 EMA should be buyable.
• Daily MAs (approx): 10-D EMA curling up; price reclaimed and is building above it after 10/22; still below any long-term 200-D estimate, but short-term momentum dominates the 24h view.

5. Volatility and bands

• Bollinger Bands (20-h, 2σ): price rode the upper band into 0.149–0.150 and is now walking just under it—classic consolidation under resistance. Middle band near ~0.144; lower band near ~0.139–0.140.
• Keltner Channels (20, ATR1.5): expansion after a mild squeeze; price is in upper half, indicating trend continuation is favored.
• ATR:
  • Hourly ATR has expanded modestly (~0.0018–0.0022). A 24h range of ~0.007–0.010 is reasonable → 0.144–0.154/0.155.

6. Market profile / VWAP / volume nodes

• Anchored VWAP from the 10/22 swing low (~0.1224) sits around ~0.140–0.142; price is well above AVWAP, supportive of longs.
• Visible intraday volume nodes: balance near 0.143–0.144 (prior value area) and a developing node near 0.146–0.147 (today’s acceptance). Acceptance building above 0.146 is constructive; a push through 0.150 could lead to a quick move to 0.152–0.155 due to a light-volume pocket.

7. Pivot points (classic; based on 10/25 D: H=0.13792, L=0.13296, C=0.13768)

• P ≈ 0.13619; R1 ≈ 0.13941; R2 ≈ 0.14115; R3 ≈ 0.14437.
• Current 0.1473 is beyond R3 from 10/25, underscoring trend strength. Using an updated (intraday 10/26) pivot would place new R-levels nearer 0.150–0.152.

8. Fibonacci mapping

• Swing low (10/10) 0.0915 → swing high (10/23) 0.15223; total range ≈ 0.06073.
• Retracements from the 10/23 high:
  • 23.6%: ~0.1379 (held remarkably well on 10/24–10/25).
  • 38.2%: ~0.1290 (confluent with the prior base around 0.129–0.132).
• Current leg: If we measure the latest impulse 0.1364 → 0.1496, a 1.272–1.618 extension projects ~0.1518–0.1548, aligning with the 0.1522 prior high and a 0.155–0.1555 extension cluster. This gives a technically clean target zone.

9. Ichimoku (hourly approximation)

• Price above Kumo; Span A > Span B; Tenkan > Kijun; Lagging span above price—textbook bullish. On a minor dip, Tenkan/Kijun near ~0.146–0.147 should act as first support.

10. Donchian/Breakout context

• 20-hour Donchian high ≈ 0.1499; a breach and hold above 0.150 should elicit momentum buying toward 0.152–0.155.
• Donchian lower band near ~0.1398—far below current acceptance, indicating room to absorb shallow pullbacks without damaging the uptrend.

11. Elliott Wave framing (heuristic)

• From 10/22 low: Wave 1 up (0.122→0.152), Wave 2 corrective to ~0.136–0.137 (shallow 23.6% retrace), Wave 3 in progress, with today’s 0.1499 a sub-wave iii/iv area. Expect a small wave iv drift (0.145–0.1465) and a wave v test 0.152–0.155.

12. Candlesticks / micro patterns

• Series of bullish-bodied hourlies with shallow wicks; latest candles show small-bodied consolidation under resistance (mini bull pennant/ascending triangle). No clear topping candle (no shooting star/bearish engulfing) at 0.1499; bears have not seized control.

13. Risk assessment and scenarios (24h)

• Base case (60%): Shallow pullback to 0.1458–0.1468, then breakout through 0.150 to tag 0.152–0.155.
• Range case (30%): Choppy 0.144–0.150 consolidation; failure to close above 0.150 delays breakout to next session but maintains higher-low structure.
• Bear case (10%): Loss of 0.143 leads to deeper mean reversion toward 0.141–0.140; trend damage increases only below 0.139–0.138.

14. Trade plan synthesis

• Edge: Multiple tools align bullishly—trend MAs stacked up, RSI bull range, MACD > 0, price above AVWAP and Kumo, 23.6% Fib retrace defended, acceptance forming above 0.146, and a nearby catalyst level at 0.150/0.152. Overhead supply exists at 0.152 but is likely to be tested.
• Execution:
  • Primary: Buy-the-dip into 0.1466 (9/20EMA and micro shelf confluence). If filled, look for a push to 0.150/0.152 and extension to 0.154–0.155.
  • Alternative: Momentum add/entry on sustained break-and-hold above 0.1505 with tight risk.
• Risk guide (not requested but prudent): A protective stop could sit under 0.1430 (beneath value node and 50-EMA H1), giving RR ~1:2+ to 0.154–0.155.

Forecast for next 24 hours

• Expect initial consolidation/dip to 0.1455–0.1468, followed by an upside attempt to 0.150–0.152. If 0.1522 breaches with volume, upside extension to 0.1545–0.1555 is probable before mean reversion.

Conclusion

• The weight of evidence favors a long. Optimal tactic: buy the pullback near 0.1466; aim to exit into 0.1548 where Fib extension and overhead supply converge.