AI-Powered Predictions for Crypto and Stocks

NVDA icon
NVDA
▼
Prediction
Price-down
BEARISH
Target
$186.95
Estimated
Model
ai robot icon
trdz-T52k
Date
2026-02-10
22:00
Analyzed

NVIDIA Corporation Price Analysis Powered by AI

NVDA Bounce Is Losing Steam: Sell-the-Rip Setup Toward 187 in the Next 24 Hours

NVDA 24H Technical Outlook (based on provided daily + intraday candles)

1) Market structure & trend (multi-timeframe)

Daily structure (Oct 2025 → Feb 10, 2026):

  • Price has been range-to-down since the late-Oct peak.
  • Notable swing points:
    • Major swing high: ~212.19 (2025-10-29)
    • Deep selloff low zone: ~169.55–172.93 (Nov 25 / Nov 21)
    • Secondary low: ~170.31 (Dec 17)
    • Recent capitulation/flush: 171.03 (Feb 5)
    • Rebound high: 193.66 (Feb 9)
    • Current: 188.54 (Feb 10 close)

Interpretation:

  • The Feb 3–Feb 5 drop (to ~171) followed by a sharp two-day rebound (Feb 6 close 185.41; Feb 9 close 190.04 with high 193.66) is characteristic of a bear-market rally / mean-reversion bounce after a volatility expansion.
  • Feb 10 printed a lower close vs Feb 9 (188.54 vs 190.04) and closed well off the rebound high (193.66), suggesting momentum cooling and supply overhead.

Intraday structure (Feb 10 hourly):

  • Early session traded ~191–192, then broke down toward ~188–189 and spent the latter hours compressing around ~189.
  • This reads as distribution / fade of the rebound, with price accepting below ~190.

Trend conclusion (next 24H bias): mildly bearish-to-neutral, favoring pullback/mean reversion lower unless price can reclaim and hold above ~191.5–192.

2) Support/Resistance mapping (price action levels)

Using recent daily highs/lows/closes + intraday pivots:

Key resistances (supply):

  • 190.30–190.44: intraday supply repeatedly hit (Feb 10 15:30–17:30 highs)
  • 191.5–192.5: Feb 10 session high zone and psychological band; failure here keeps sellers in control
  • 193.66: Feb 9 high; reclaim would signal the bounce is extending

Key supports (demand):

  • 188.10–188.40: Feb 10 day low 188.12; intraday traded/accepted around 188.38–188.61
  • 185.60: Feb 2 close 185.61 (frequent “memory” level)
  • 183.9–184.0: Feb 9 low area 183.95
  • 171–176: major demand zone from Feb 4–Feb 6 (farther away; tail risk support)

Level implication:

  • With price below 190 and repeatedly failing to sustain >190.3–190.5, the near-term path of least resistance is typically a retest of 188, and if that breaks, a move toward 186–185.6 is plausible.

3) Candlestick & pattern read

Daily candles (last ~6 sessions):

  • Feb 3–5: large bearish continuation (range expansion, panic-like)
  • Feb 6: strong bullish reversal day (close near top of range)
  • Feb 9: bullish continuation to 193.66 then close 190.04 (upper wick → profit-taking)
  • Feb 10: bearish/neutral day (high 192.48, low 188.12, close 188.54) → effectively a pullback candle after the rebound.

Pattern lens:

  • This resembles a V-bounce that is now stalling under resistance (192–194), often followed by a second dip (either higher low near 185–186 or deeper retest).

4) Volatility & range expectations (ATR-style reasoning)

Even without computing full ATR, the recent true ranges are large:

  • Feb 6: ~12.4 range (174.6–187)
  • Feb 9: ~9.7 range (183.95–193.66)
  • Feb 10: ~4.36 range (188.12–192.48)

Volatility is contracting after expansion. Typical sequence:

  1. expansion (panic) → 2) sharp rebound → 3) contraction/consolidation → 4) continuation or second-leg retrace.

Given contraction under resistance, odds favor a downward continuation within the contraction first (to test demand).

5) Volume/participation cues

Daily volume:

  • Feb 3–Feb 6 volumes are elevated (~204M–231M), signaling institutional activity.
  • Feb 10 volume (135.99M) is lower than the panic days, consistent with bounce losing sponsorship.

Implication: rebounds on fading volume after capitulation often become sell-the-rip setups unless new accumulation appears.

6) Mean reversion / “magnet” levels (pivot logic)

Using Feb 10 OHLC (H=192.48, L=188.12, C=188.54):

  • Pivot P ≈ (192.48+188.12+188.54)/3 ≈ 189.71
  • R1 ≈ 2P − L ≈ 191.30
  • S1 ≈ 2P − H ≈ 186.95

Interpretation:

  • Price closed below pivot (~189.71) at 188.54 → bearish tilt for next session.
  • A common next-step is testing S1 ~186.95 if price cannot reclaim pivot early.

7) Scenario planning (next 24 hours)

Base case (higher probability): bearish pullback / consolidation lower

  • Early attempt to bounce toward 189.7–190.4 gets sold.
  • Price revisits 188.1; if it breaks with acceptance, continuation to 187.0 then 186.0–186.95.

Bull case (invalidates short): renewed squeeze

  • Clean reclaim and hold above 191.3, then push to 192.5.
  • A break above 193.66 would reopen 195–197 zone quickly (short-covering).

Bear case (tail): deeper retrace

  • Loss of 186.9 accelerates to 185.6, then potential test of 184.

Given current location (188.54) and clear overhead resistance (190.3–192.5), the risk/reward favors shorting into resistance, not chasing downside at support.

24H Price Movement Prediction

  • Expected direction: Down / sideways-to-down
  • Expected 24H range: roughly 186.8 – 191.3 (with downside tests more likely than upside breakouts)
  • Most likely magnet: 187–188 area first, then decision point.

Trade Decision (tactical)

Decision: Sell (Short Position)

  • Rationale: rebound has stalled; price acceptance below ~190; pivot math points to ~186.95; supply overhead 190.3–192.5.

Optimal order placement

Because current price (188.54) is close to support, an optimal short is typically on a bounce into resistance:

  • Open (Sell) Price: 190.30 (retest of proven intraday supply zone)
  • Take Profit / Close Price: 186.95 (S1 / probable next demand test)

(If price never bounces to 190.30, the setup is “missed” rather than forcing a low-quality entry into support.)