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NVDA icon
NVDA
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Prediction
Price-up
BULLISH
Target
$192.9
Estimated
Model
ai robot icon
trdz-T52k
Date
2026-02-11
22:00
Analyzed

NVIDIA Corporation Price Analysis Powered by AI

NVDA Coils Under 193: Bullish Consolidation With Dip-Buy Entry Near 189 Support

Market Snapshot (NVDA)

  • Current price: 190.05 (spot) / last print ~190.46 (hourly)
  • Last daily close (2026-02-11): 190.05 (H 193.26 / L 188.77)
  • Context: Strong rebound from the Feb 4–5 selloff lows (~171–174) into Feb 9 high (193.66), followed by 2-day consolidation/pullback into the 188.8–190 area.

1) Price Action & Trend Structure (Multiple Timeframe)

Daily swing structure

  • Down-leg: 2026-01-30 close 191.13 → 2026-02-05 close 171.88 (sharp liquidation).
  • Reversal impulse: 2026-02-06 close 185.41 (bullish reversal day; large range, strong close vs prior).
  • Continuation: 2026-02-09 close 190.04 with intraday high 193.66.
  • Current condition: 02-10 and 02-11 are inside/overlapping range days relative to 02-09 impulse, indicating pause after a strong upswing.

Interpretation: The dominant short-term trend since Feb 5 is up, but momentum is cooling and price is digesting gains under a nearby resistance band.

Intraday (hourly) structure

  • Early session push to 192.8–193.26 then a sharp drop (14:30 bar) down to 188.77, followed by a recovery toward 191–192, then drift back to ~190.

Interpretation: A classic stop-run / liquidity sweep: upside attempt failed, sellers drove price through the midrange, then buyers defended and mean-reverted. That often leads to range-bound trading next, unless a catalyst breaks the range.

2) Key Support/Resistance Mapping (Order-Flow/Market Structure)

Resistance (supply)

  1. 192.40–193.70:
    • Hourly highs (192.8–193.26) and the Feb 9 high (193.66).
    • Multiple rejection attempts imply resting supply.
  2. 195–196 (secondary): prior congestion area from mid-Jan; would be next target only if 193.7 breaks cleanly.

Support (demand)

  1. 189.80–188.70:
    • Today’s low 188.77 and repeated intraday holds.
    • Psychological 190 area also attracts two-sided flow.
  2. 185.40–184.80:
    • Feb 6 close 185.41 and Feb 12/Jan 12–13 area (historical pivot).
  3. 174–172: Feb 4–5 capitulation base (tail risk support).

Current price location: Sitting mid-range, slightly closer to the lower edge of the 188.7–193.7 band.

3) Moving Averages & Trend Filters (qualitative from the series)

  • Price has recently traded around mid-to-high 180s/low 190s for weeks, with the Feb drop briefly undercutting the range and then snapping back.
  • This behavior commonly means the intermediate trend is sideways-to-up, while the short-term trend is up from the Feb lows.

Implication: Trend filters favor buying dips into support rather than shorting the middle of the range—unless support breaks decisively.

4) Momentum & Mean Reversion Signals

Momentum read (price-based)

  • From Feb 5 close 171.88 to Feb 9 close 190.04 is a strong 2–3 day momentum burst.
  • The failure to hold above ~192.5 today suggests momentum divergence / exhaustion near resistance.

Mean reversion read

  • Today’s sharp dump to 188.77 followed by recovery indicates buyers step in below 189.
  • When a market repeatedly rejects lows in a tight area after an impulse up, it often transitions into:
    • Range continuation upward (bull flag), or
    • Deeper pullback to the next demand zone (185–186) before resuming up.

Given price is still holding the first demand band (188.7–189.8), the higher-probability next 24h path is range-to-slightly-up unless 188.7 breaks.

5) Volatility & Range Expectations (ATR-style reasoning)

  • Recent daily ranges are large:
    • 02-06: ~12.4 points (187–174.6)
    • 02-09: ~9.7 points (193.66–183.95)
    • 02-11: ~4.5 points (193.26–188.77) plus intraday whips.

Near-term expectation: Another $4–$8 move is plausible within 24 hours.

  • If support holds: drift back toward 192–193.5.
  • If support breaks: quick slide toward 186 is realistic.

6) Candlestick / Pattern Read

  • Feb 6 is a textbook reversal expansion after a selloff.
  • Feb 9 extends the rebound, tagging resistance.
  • Feb 10–11 show consolidation with upper wicks near 192–193 and buyers defending 188–190.

Pattern bias: Bullish consolidation (flag/range), but not a clean breakout yet.

7) Scenario Forecast (Next 24 Hours)

Base case (higher probability): Range → mild upside

  • Hold 188.7–189.8, then retest 192.4–193.3.
  • Probability: ~55–60%.

Bear case: Support failure → deeper pullback

  • Break and accept below 188.7, then move to 186.0–185.4.
  • Probability: ~30–35%.

Bull breakout case: Trend continuation

  • Break above 193.7 with acceptance, opening 195–196.
  • Probability: ~10–15% (needs strong tape / market-wide strength).

8) Trade Construction (What’s optimal right now?)

With price at ~190 (midrange), the best R:R comes from buying closer to support (not chasing the middle).

  • Ideal long entry is a limit buy near the defended shelf 189.0–189.3.
  • Take profit should be set just below resistance to improve fill probability (front-run supply).

Final Synthesis

  • The rebound off 171–174 is strong and still intact.
  • 192.5–193.7 is proven supply; price is consolidating beneath it.
  • The 188.7–189.8 area is repeatedly defended intraday.

Bias for next 24h: Slight upside / range continuation, favoring a Buy on a pullback to support.

Note: This is a technical, short-horizon setup; broad market/news risk can override.